• Wed. Jan 8th, 2025

Planning for the unplannable: The year ahead for finance

Planning for the unplannable: The year ahead for finance

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The following is a guest post from Alok Ajmera, president and CEO at Prophix. Opinions are the author’s own.

A new year always brings new challenges, opportunities and prospects for growth. As we enter 2025, business and finance leaders find themselves at the helm of this transformative journey, navigating through a changing market landscape. Several trends will be critical to both corporate and financial stakeholders this year. While variable market conditions will dictate a lot of decision-making in 2025, there’s plenty for C-suite leaders to prepare for today.

Businesses stay on the defensive – for now

Last year, the corporate buzzword for 2024 was business optimization — a term that continues to take on multiple forms when put into practice. Many approached business optimization intending to find the ideal balance of sustainability and profitability. Companies invariably put effort into streamlining around the fringes — addressing areas like supply chain, vendor relationships or employment costs — to eke out incremental EBITDA, profit, and cash flow.

This streamlining is likely to continue into 2025, as economic and geopolitical uncertainty make growth considerably harder to anticipate. As growth slows down, companies orient around optimization. If your growth is coming down, most businesses aren’t leaning in and spending — they’re getting a little more defensive and protecting margin. The tech space, as the clearest example, went from frothy growth, to concern around growth, to now more of a defensive posture.

Alok Ajmera, president and CEO at Prophix

Alok Ajmera, president and CEO at Prophix

Permission granted by Alok Ajmera

 

Outside of tech, you can see a trend across industries — businesses that choose to either be in high growth mode, in which case they can plan for and manage lower profitability, or they want lower growth and higher profitability. The struggle is that when growth is hard to come by, you’re open to that mushy middle of low growth and low profitability. Organizations that have historically leaned heavily into growth are either going to have to be more creative to figure out how to sustain it, or they’re going to have to dig much deeper into optimization.

On the plus side, with interest rates beginning to drop, cash is becoming slightly more fluid entering 2025. This should lead to businesses bringing on some additional debt to fuel growth and should free up the M&A market. Again, if growth is getting harder to come by, then organizations need to optimize. If cash is a little cheaper to get from a debt perspective, that can fund creativity on how to spark inorganic growth, ultimately driving M&A.

Planning moves past the P&L

As organizations have tightened up in recent years, particularly from a financial perspective, planning technology has seen more widespread adoption. The pandemic and its aftermath only heightened the need for more advanced financial planning capabilities and the trend will likely continue into 2025. But to truly get the most out of planning technology organizations are more likely than ever to break down every line in their profit and loss (P&L) and start to focus on the operational drivers that are influencing financial output.

As you start seeing organizations trying to draw a fraction of percentage points of optimization, data and data modeling become incredibly important, and not just at a P&L or a balance sheet level, but at a very granular operational level. Part of the benefit is that it connects the broader organization so there’s clear alignment within the organization around the key drivers and how it translates into financial performance. The goal should be to understand where costs are, what’s driving the margin, what’s potentially putting downward pressure on the margin and where more thoughtful, corrective action can be taken.

In addition to both financial and operational planning challenges, senior leaders should be prepared for a more complicated, and sometimes chaotic, business environment for the near future. Economic tailwinds have helped steer many organizations towards profitability, often in spite of themselves and their markets. It’s likely businesses will have a more difficult time sustaining that success in the next five to 10 years and that corporate leaders will quickly reach a pivotal point: those that have done well because the conditions have made it nearly impossible to fail, and those that have put in the work to structure their businesses for long-term success.

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